Research
impact 16
Evaluating Strategic Reasoning in Forecasting Agents
Evaluating Strategic Reasoning in Forecasting Agents arXiv:2604.26106v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting benchmarks produce accuracy leaderboards but little insight into why some forecasters are more accurate th…
Why it matters
The timing matters: forecasting is converging with shifts in evaluating, which could amplify the downstream impact.